2022-11-04

400ft Tall Halloween Light and Drone Show! Featuring: Metallica, Stranger Things, and Ghostbusters

Expansion of the Money Supply







Spooky Science episode 14: Fritz Haber

What SCOTTISH People Think About ENGLISH People. SCOTLAND vs ENGLAND

New Evidence Against Dark Matter, Carbon Footprint Of Higgs Bosons, Data Transmission Record & more - YouTube

The Largest Eruption on Earth Ever Caught on Camera

What is a devil’s garden?

The AGE of Insanity: Jordan Peterson

These fungi eat radiation.

2022-11-01

Jordan peterson heavily criticises trump

Caught in an Avalanche in Kyrgyzstan

No, the U.S. isn’t going to run out of diesel fuel in 25 days

Tucker Carlson: The US is about to run out of diesel fuel

 

This mean that truckers and trains cannot transport food and other commodities.  The economy could collapse.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUZoli8oekg



Mansfield warned that at the U.S. economy level, consumers may feel pain at the pump, but for businesses that rely on diesel for operations, supply will still be available.

"That is not to say there will not occasionally be situations where there is a true physical lack of products," the company said. "Some cities might run dry on diesel for a few days, at least at the terminal level. But the fuel supply chain is dynamic, and suppliers will rally to fill in any gaps in supply."


This is also the time of year that refineries are doing maintenance. They tend to do that in the spring and fall, which is when demand is lower and the weather is decent. So, refinery capacity drops at this time of year.

Third, U.S. refinery capacity has fallen in the past few years as several unprofitable refineries were closed. So, that's a new factor that has appeared in the past couple of years.

But the primary reason is the cutoff of Russian imports. Prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. was importing nearly 700,000 barrels per day (BPD) of petroleum and petroleum products. Most of those imports were finished products and refinery inputs that boosted distillate supplies in the U.S.

The loss of those Russian imports has caused problems for refineries as they struggle to fill holes in their product slates. Refineries do have a small amount of flexibility in shifting gasoline production to diesel production. But it's a relatively small amount (e.g., ~5% in a refinery I once worked in). That also means that if refiners do shift production, it also potentially creates shortages in the gasoline market.

Some relief is on the way, as some diesel imports are on the way from Europe to the East Coast. But, the distillate market won't likely return to normal before next summer at the earliest.


2022-10-26

Taiwan chip production

What if we were to incentivize, i.e. bribe, Taiwan to move its semiconductor business to someplace relatively safe?  Or move part of it?  Hawaii, Thailand, Australia, or the Philippines?  At some point they may want to expand their capacity, so why not expand it to another country?  Become more of an international company.   It might seem reasonable if we provide the right incentives.  

Better than fighting a war. 

Meanwhile we could work on increasing our capacity, or invest in some allied country that makes chips. 

Best wishes,

John Coffey

On Oct 26, 2022, at 4:21 PM, Larry wrote:

"If China would invade Taiwan, that would be the biggest impact we've seen to the global economy — possibly ever," Glenn O'Donnell, the vice president and research director at Forrester, told Insider. "This could be bigger than 1929."

While TSMC may not be a household name, you almost certainly own something that's powered by its chips.

TSMC is in the foundry business, meaning it doesn't design its chips but instead produces them at fabrication plants for other companies. The company accounts for over half of the global semiconductor market, and when it comes to advanced processors that number is, by some estimates, as high as 90%. In fact, even the best chip from China's top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC, has been said to be about five years behind TSMC's.

TSMC counts Apple as its biggest customer, supplying the California tech giant with the chips that power iPhones. In fact, most of the world's roughly 1.4 billion smartphone processors are produced by TSMC, as are about 60% of the chips used by automakers, according to The Wall Street Journal.

TSMC semiconductors are also used in high-performance computing: They can quickly process reams of data and guide missiles, making the company highly valuable in the eyes of government entities.

According to a 2021 report from the Semiconductor Industry Association, in 1990 the US produced 37% of the world's chip supply. These days, the US is responsible for only 12% of global chip production.

While the consequences of an invasion could be significant, many experts say it's just a matter of time before it happens, whether it's by 20302025, or even by the end of next year. On Monday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken predicted China would take steps to annex Taiwan on a "much faster timeline" than previously thought, signaling that it could be sooner rather than later. The US government is already playing out war-game scenarios to prepare for this, and in the event of a full invasion it would reportedly consider evacuating the skilled chipmaker engineers on which it's become so reliant.

The spotlight has focused increasingly on Taiwan and the semiconductor industry as a whole in recent weeks following the export regulations the US government slapped on China. Those regulations limit sales of semiconductors made using US technology and are meant to curb China's ability to develop advanced technology.

How TSMC and US-China Tensions May Dictate Fate of Global Economy (businessinsider.com)

East Chicago man out on bond for attempted murder charged again with same crime

I am a little concerned that we release people to go out to commit the same crimes again.

https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/east-chicago-man-out-on-bond-for-attempted-murder-charged-again-with-same-crime

2022-10-22

Trump 'Repeatedly' Discussing Picking MTG As Running Mate: Journalist

Donald Trump has "repeatedly" discussed choosing Marjorie Taylor Greene as his running mate, a journalist said.

He's been discussing it since February, NYT magazine reporter Robert Draper told the Daily Beast.

Trump is considering Greene because of her unflagging loyalty to him, Draper said.

Greene has promoted far-right, white supremacist, and antisemitic conspiracy theories, including the white genocide conspiracy theory,[6][7] QAnon, and Pizzagate,[8][9] as well as other extremist conspiracy theories[10][11] about mass shootings, the alleged killings perpetrated by the Clinton family, and the 9/11 attacks.[12][13] Before running for Congress, she supported calls to execute prominent Democratic politicians, including Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.



"Vaccinated employees get a vaccination logo just like the Nazi's forced Jewish people to wear a gold star. Vaccine passports & mask mandates create discrimination against unvaxxed people who trust their immune systems to a virus that is 99% survivable," she wrote.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Says COVID Safety Measures Are Equivalent to the Holocaust.

Ben Shapiro replied to the tweet, writing, "This is demented nonsense. It is nothing like the Holocaust, and any comparison thereto is both insulting and insane."

https://www.thewrap.com/marjorie-taylor-greene-holocaust-masks-republicans/


2022-10-18

Coming soon: Netflix with ads

Netflix has been discussing an ad-based tier for some time, and now we know how much it's going to cost. (Drumroll, please.) The new Basic with Ads plan will cost $6.99 per month. 

Compare that to the Basic plan at $9.99, Standard at $15.49 and Premium at $19.99.

Here's what you get with the ad-supported plan:

Video quality up to 720p HD
An average of 4 to 5 minutes of ads per hour
There are a couple of caveats. Some movies and TV shows won't be available due to licensing restrictions, though Netflix says it's working on this. And you won't be able to download content to watch when you're offline.

Netflix's ad-based tier will launch Nov. 3. The streaming giant says its current Basic, Standard or Premium plans will not be impacted by the new one, but don't be surprised to see price hikes down the line. 

Other streaming services offer ad-supported plans, or they will soon. Compared to HBO and ESPN, Netflix isn't too bad. Here's how these plans stack up:

Paramount+ and Peacock: $4.99
Hulu and Disney+ (coming Dec. 8): $7.99
HBO Max and ESPN+: $9.99

A normal and terrifying thing about chemistry

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/nleE-VEb_dU

The pork industry was looking for a humane way to slaughter pigs, so they tried having the pigs breathe pure nitrogen which did the trick.   This has been suggested as a humane way to do capital punishment, and there is a political movement of people who support suicide for terminally ill patients who were encouraging people to breathe pure helium, which is easy to obtain, as a painless way to die.

There is gas exchange between the oceans and the air.   CO2 in the oceans forms carbonic acid, which is used by calcifying marine organisms to combine with calcium to make calcium carbonate to create shells.  This process is sequestering atmospheric CO2 over the long term, turning CO2 into limestone deposits, which is why atmospheric CO2 has been on a serious decline over the last 40 million years.

2022-10-06

Electrical carbon capture

There are an octillion phytoplankton that are the basis of the ocean food chain, plus all the other plants that are the basis of the terrestrial food chain, all of which take CO2 out of atmosphere.  Atmospheric CO2 is plant food and it has been in a sharp decline over the last 40 million years.  What a pity to waste it.  It is a valuable natural resource. 

All of human civilization arose over just the last 12,000 years after we came out of the most recent period of mass glaciation.  Geologically it is not a very long time.  In just 10,000 years from now, half of North America will covered by a mile of ice and this period of mass glaciers will last another 80,000 years.

We will run out of most fossil fuels by the year 2100 and we will run out of coal by the year 2150.  Then the natural sequestration of CO2 by calcifying marine organisms will continue to deplete atmospheric CO2 until it eventually gets so low that it threatens all terrestrial plant life.  This has come close to happening already during the ice age 20,000 years ago.  If it happens again then we will have to generate CO2 from limestone deposits to survive.  

We are not the enemy of nature; we are its salvation. 

Best wishes,

John Coffey

Begin forwarded message:

From: Larry 
Subject: Electrical carbon capture



It would be great if we could go back to using coal with this carbon capture.
Allowing the demand on natural gas to drop lowering the price.
It would be interesting to see if this could be eventually used in personal gasoline cars so that the world doesn't also try to phase them out.

BYU Molten Salt Reactor


2022-10-04

Fire Tablets

Right now Amazon is selling some of their Fire Tablets at half price. Although they are budget tablets, not nearly as powerful as iPads, I am pretty impressed with the value for the price.
I have argued that if you have a good smartphone then you might not need a tablet, but I have enjoyed my Fire Tablet while traveling. They are more useful if you subscribe to Amazon Prime.


2022-10-01

How mobile games are designed to SCAM you

At-Home COVID-19 Antigen Tests-Take Steps to Reduce Your Risk of False Negative: FDA Safety Communication | FDA

Most at-home COVID-19 tests are antigen tests and do not detect the SARS-CoV-2 virus as well as molecular tests, most of which are laboratory-based such as polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests. Molecular COVID-19 tests are generally expected to detect the SARS-CoV-2 virus at least 95% of the time when someone is infected. However, at-home COVID-19 antigen tests are generally expected to detect the SARS-CoV-2 virus at least 80% of the time when someone is infected.

When you perform an at-home COVID-19 antigen test, and you get a positive result, the results are typically accurate. However, if you perform an at-home COVID-19 antigen test, you could get a false negative result. 


The FDA recommends repeat testing following a negative result whether or not you have COVID-19 symptoms.

https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/safety-communications/home-covid-19-antigen-tests-take-steps-reduce-your-risk-false-negative-fda-safety-communication

The WORST Housing Crash In 40 Years JUST BEGAN

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VkIhqBHgEDQ

I have always been very skeptical of gloom and doom predictions.  Nobody can predict the future with any accuracy.  However, a housing bust would not surprise me.

2022-09-30

The Collapse of HBO Max

I like HBO Max better than Netflix, but reportedly it is going away and is going to be combined with The Discovery Channel.

Chess commentator sacked for sexist comments during match

All chess players - men and women - can become grandmasters, which is the highest title a chess player can attain, if they have a rating of 2,500 and above.* The very top female chess players have this title.

The woman grandmaster title is only for women and requires a lower rating of 2,300.

The commentators were discussing whether Zhu Jiner could become grandmaster, when Mr Smirin said: "She's a woman grandmaster or what?... Why she wants to be like men grandmaster in this case?"

Mr Smirin went on to appear to admit that he had privately said "chess is maybe not for women".

Fellow commentator Fiona Steil-Antoni said to him: "You're saying, you know, 'chess is maybe not for women'," and Mr Smirin replied: "I didn't say it openly... in private, private conversation."

And he also seemed to admit saying another female player - Grandmaster Aleksandra Goryachkin - had been "playing like a man".

"That's true," said Mr Smirin, when questioned about his apparent comments. "She played in Russia super final. Small minus she made, but it was very strong tournament. She also had like 2,600 plus rating."

Challenging him again, Ms Steil-Antoni asked: "What does that have to do with playing like a man, only men can play well?"

"No, no," Mr Smirin responded. "But she's playing in style, positional style... But OK, I'm always curious, why can women play among men but men cannot play with women in women tournaments? Interesting question."


* Reaching a rating of 2500 is not the only requirement for becoming a Grandmaster.

Chess is dominated by men, maybe because it is a highly competitive (and egotistical) game.  Men tend to prefer competition whereas women tend to prefer cooperation.

2022-09-28

Post covid brain disorders

Leftist Says Capitalism Doesn't Work

Facebook and Craigslist scams

I have noticed that a few people have created new Facebook accounts because they said that their old account was hacked or there is a problem with it. In some cases, people say that they can no longer access their old accounts.

This can get confusing because there are also fake accounts that look like the original accounts. All of this is part of scams, for example, I had a 'friend' ask to borrow money. It is always strange when you get friend requests from people who are already friends, meaning that these new friend requests are likely from fake accounts. And if they are not fake accounts then you need to verify that these people are who they say they are.

So today I encountered a scam. One of the hacked accounts had been talking to me briefly for a few days making small talk. At first, I was fooled thinking that I was talking to my friend in Salt Lake City. Then today the account tried to pull a scam that went like this:

He said that he was trying to install Facebook on his phone, but he needed a code number to finish the installation. He said that Facebook required that the code be sent to a second phone number, which makes no sense, and asked if he could use my phone number. I had already inadvertently given this person my phone number because I had asked him to give me a call so that we could chat.

I was immediately suspicious. I have seen many scams as a seller on Craigslist that will claim that they want to verify your identity with a code number and that you have to message the code number back to them. What they are actually trying to accomplish is to do a password reset on your account, which requires a code verification, so if you give them the code then they will be able to change your Craiglist password and take over your account. Then they can use your account to scam other people.

So I realized this Facebook scammer was doing the same thing trying to take over my Facebook account. I contacted my friend on his new account and he verified that this other account was not him. However, I took this one step further. I told him that I didn't know which account was the real one, the old or the new, so I asked for his phone number so that I could call him and verify his identity. As soon as he answered the phone, I knew that I was talking to the real person.
I blocked the bad account and reported it to Facebook as someone impersonating a friend.

Never give a code number (or password) to a person in a message or email. It is a scam.

--
Best wishes,

John Coffey

http://www.entertainmentjourney.com

Notorious Child Abduction Leads to "America's Most Wanted" | Adam Walsh ...

Very interesting...

https://youtu.be/ELvgSL70oHI

Huge brown bear enters 7-Eleven store and helps itself to CANDY BARS ๐Ÿป

2022-09-26

MAGNUS CARLSEN: "I Believe Hans Niemann CHEATED"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfqXnFNnDII

Good video.  

I don't believe that Hans cheated.  There is very little evidence for it.  Hans is a rising star and had the best game of his career and Magnus didn't.  If I can lose to players rated 200 (or in my case 500) points below me then so can Magnus.  

Shit happens.  Twenty years ago I got a draw against Grandmaster Igor Ivanov.  About the same time, I watched a B player friend of mine beat Grandmaster Susan Polgar in a speed tournament.



P.S.  The Babe Ruth story is misunderstood. He was pointing to people he knew in the stands, but the myth remains.

The story about Hans claiming ahead of time that he was going to win a tournament is interesting. Over 20 years ago I was running a Utah championship tournament when a teenager told me that he was going to beat everybody to prove that he was the best player. I thought that this was a very cocky statement to make, but to my surprise, this is exactly what he did.

2022-09-15

Re: Watch "You're Immortal And I Can Prove It" on YouTube

I like the video.  It doesn't teach me anything new, but he makes entertaining videos.

On Wed, Sep 14, 2022 at 11:34 PM Albert wrote:
A "Thoughty" video.



2022-09-10

Re: Ukraine makes progress

Although I sympathize with the plight of Ukraine, I never thought that this is a war that they can win.  I assumed that it all would be over in a couple of months.

We are depleting our national treasure over a war that is little in our national interest.  

It is like the Domino Theory all over again.  I remember in the 1960s when the politicians were talking about the Domino Theory.


On Sat, Sep 10, 2022 at 10:50 AM Larry wrote:


2022-09-04

Memphis TN

My brief stays in both Memphis, Tennessee, and Oakland, CA were essentially the same.  The people at the hotel desk told me to not walk to my car unless I was being escorted.  My cab driver in Memphis told me that the city was the murder capital of the United States, surpassing Washington D.C.  He said that he was trying to save up enough money to go somewhere else.

This is why I like small cities.



The Simple Secret of Runway Digits

2022-08-21

Future Teacher FIGHTS a Cop’s UNFAIR Stop

Utah is the weird one ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XURCzNd1uw&t=384s

New Rule: Make the Mall Great Again | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Effect of mRNA Vaccine Boosters against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Infection in Qatar | NEJM

Compared to the primary series, booster effectiveness against symptomatic omicron infection was 49.4%, with the primary series 76.5%.

Study shows probability of getting COVID for mask wearers vs. non-mask wearers

In the healthcare setting, 9% of the mask wearers and 33% of the non-mask wearers tested COVID-19 positive. 

 Additionally, in community settings, the team noted that 6% of mask wearers and 83% of non-maks wearers tested SARS-CoV-2 positive.

China's Taiwan Crisis, CCP Will Never Invade, Protests Everywhere. China's financial crisis is Here


Good video.



2022-08-14

New Rule: the Casting Police | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

COVID.gov/tests - Free at-home COVID-19 tests

The government is allowing people to get a third round of free COVID tests.  If you should get seriously ill, you might want extra test kits.  It may take several tests to verify that you are recovered, and you may have family members who also need to be tested.

https://www.covid.gov/tests

2022-08-09

China and EV batteries

That's because most EVs run on lithium-ion batteries that are mostly made in China. The nation has a lock on some 76 percent of the battery market today (the US only represents 8 percent). And to get a deal passed in a deadlocked Senate, Democrats agreed to provisions that would require eligible vehicles to use batteries that are made in North America.

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which passed the Senate this weekend in a party-line vote, would require batteries to have at least 40 percent of materials sourced from North America or a US trading partner by 2024 in order to be eligible for a $7,500 tax break. By 2029, battery components would have to be 100 percent made in North America.

Batteries that contain minerals that "were extracted, processed, or recycled by a foreign entity of concern," which is defined as a state sponsoring terrorism or countries blocked by the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, would be ineligible for the credit. China is listed as a "foreign entity of concern" by the federal government.

Democrats, including West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, who negotiated the deal in secret with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are running on a tough-on-China message this year. But the auto industry says that the new requirements would basically disqualify every EV on the market today.

According to the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, the auto industry's main lobbying group, there are currently 72 EV models available for purchase in the United States, including battery, plug-in hybrid, and fuel cell electric vehicles. Of those models, 70 percent are ineligible for the tax credit when the bill passes. And by 2029, when the additional sourcing requirements go into effect, none would qualify for the full credit.

No electric vehicles on the market today qualify for the new EV tax credit - The Verge

2022-08-06

Andor is doing something very risky

Inflation: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

People tend to blame everything except the fiat currency.  The technical definition of inflation is an increase in the money supply, not price increases.  From January 2020 to December 2021, the Money Supply went up 40%.  Although the effect is not immediate, we should be looking for a 40% increase in prices as a result, or at least close to it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBo4GViDxzc

2022-08-03

"People’s Rights are Disappearing," 'Star Wars' Show Introducing "Trumpian World" - Inside the Magic

Fiona Shaw shared with Empire that series writer Tony Gilroy has infused a "Trumpian" theme into the show:

"Tony has written a great, scurrilous [take] on the Trumpian world. Our world is exploding in different places right now, people's rights are disappearing, and Andor reflects that. [In the show] the Empire is taking over, and it feels like the same thing is happening in reality, too."

2022-08-02

San Francisco beating of Elderly

I assume that the attack was racially motivated.  Anyone who conducts such a violent racial attack doesn't deserve to be called an American.  If it were up to me, people who perpetrate heinous racially motivated attacks, regardless of the race of the people involved, deserve to lose their citizenship.  That's probably unconstitutional, but I think that we should draw a line that you cannot cross.

2022-07-17

The Governments Hidden Plan To Raise Gas Prices | Not About Oil

About 2/3 of the points made by Mark Moss about the current energy crisis are things I have heard before.  However, his other points contain a great deal of good information on how government regulation is messing up the energy sector.

He gets a little conspiratorial by suggesting that the government wants to nationalize the oil industry, without definitely coming to this conclusion.  However, his support for this idea is extremely weak, and I have little reason to believe it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bY46elZFKmc

2022-07-15

Will Police Chief Get A Free DUI Pass or Get Arrested?

Knights Are Worth More Than Bishops - I Will Prove it! (Which is better, the knight or the bishop)

My friend Al in Bangkok Thailand made this video.  He and I used to practice long games against each other in Utah.  About five years ago he visited his brother in Indianapolis and we got to play again.

The video is very well made.  I had to ask him questions about how he put it together.  He used iMovie and Photoshop, the chess.com feature that lets you draw arrows on the chess board and some free stock photos on the Internet.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7nXVhr3130

2022-07-14

Climate activists step up tire-slashing operation

https://youtu.be/V08tNp5PNI4

Best wishes,

John Coffey

Spinal cord repair

Eventually, this may be very useful.

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Larry 

A drug under investigation as a cancer treatment has shown exciting promise in a rather different branch of medical research, with scientists demonstrating how it can promote nerve repair following spinal injury. The breakthrough shows how the drug acts on a DNA damage response mechanism at play in both these unrelated conditions, and triggers a "remarkable" recovery in mice with injured spinal cords.


2022-07-07

What the BA.5 Subvariant Could Mean for the United States - The New York Times

The most transmissible variant yet of the coronavirus is threatening a fresh wave of infections in the United States, even among those who have recovered from the virus fairly recently.

The subvariant of Omicron known as BA.5 is now dominant, according to federal estimates released Tuesday, and together with BA.4, another subvariant, it is fueling an outbreak of cases and hospitalizations.

"I think there's an underappreciation of what it's going to do to the country, and it already is exerting its effect," said Eric Topol, a professor of molecular medicine at Scripps Research, who has written about the subvariant.

BA.5 and BA.4, both subvariants of the Omicron variant that swept the world during the winter, are the most capable versions of the virus yet at evading immunity from previous infections and vaccines. Both variants have mutations in their spike proteins that are different enough from earlier versions of the virus that they are able to dodge some antibodies.

Waves of infection — and the subsequent immunity that comes with them — vary across countries and make for imperfect comparisons. Vaccination rates also vary. But in places where BA.4 and BA.5 have been dominant for weeks or months, the subvariants have caused increases in cases and hospitalizations, despite some population immunity from previous waves

BA.5 causes more severe disease

Jim Belushi, cannabis farmer

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_uWmQU2BbA0

I am personally against using intoxicating substances.  I am for freedom. 

2022-07-06

Science and human progress

There is very little that we don't currently understand about the laws of physics.  The so-called "Standard Model" can explain almost everything.  I have to admire the brilliance of the people who figured this stuff out because to understand anything more than in general terms requires very many pages of high-level mathematics.

It is not perfect.  Both the Theory of Relativity and Quantum Physics are incomplete theories.  They don't agree perfectly with each other and they can't explain what happened during the first nanosecond of the Big Bang.  We would need a Quantum Theory of Gravity that we don't have yet.  We don't know yet what Dark Matter and Dark Energy are, although we have some theories.

Some things we might never know.  Subatomic particles behave like waves on a vast ocean.  We may never know what the ocean is made of because it sits beneath our reality.  It is likely beyond our reach.  

But in terms of what makes spaceships travel the path they do, how computers compute, and why socks stick to your clothes when you take them out of the dryer, we understand all that stuff perfectly.  

So besides cosmology and particle physics, what is left to discover?   

1.  We will never have faster than light travel.  It would be a miracle and a monumental and dangerous undertaking if we could reach 10% the speed of light.   Even 1% of the speed of light would be amazing.

2. Our computing technology will soon run into physical limitations where we just can't make the circuits any smaller.  The next step would be light-based circuitry, but the technology is not yet even close.  People make pie-in-the-sky claims about Quantum computers that are a very long way off.  So it seems likely that the advancement in computer technology will slow down in about a decade.  Maybe the next big breakthrough would come from software.

3.  For seventy years people have been predicting that nuclear fusion power is just 30 years away.  They said the same thing 30 years ago.  It turns out that nuclear fusion power is very hard to do and only remotely possible on a massive scale requiring at least billions of dollars to build.  We should have it by the year 2100, which is a good thing because we are going to start running out of some fossil fuels long before then.  We need more nuclear fission plans, and we are predicted to get more in about a decade, but it would be difficult to build enough to power the world.

4.  Renewables are going to be somewhat of a bust.  They are useful on a limited scale, but they require too much land and too much raw material and resources to power the world.

5.  We are seeing advances in nanomaterials that could change the world.  The first graphene batteries are being developed.  This could have a major impact on electric vehicles.

6.  I think that we will see huge advances in biotechnology, not only in our understanding of biology and medicine but in the ability to manipulate genetic code for useful purposes.  We could program microbes to make medicines and materials that we need.  We might be able to cure diseases, improve our health, and increase our lifespans.  Biotechnology could be the next big thing.

-

Are You Proud To Be An American?

Ewan McGregor Replaced with Alec Guinness in the Star Wars Obi-Wan Kenobi Series

Ewan McGregor was chosen to play the young Obi-Wan Kenobi because he looked a little bit like Alec Guinness.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ocL1Q0aPdOg

Great Reset - Wikipedia

three core components of the Great Reset: the first involves creating conditions for a "stakeholder economy"; the second component includes building in a more "resilient, equitable, and sustainable" way—based on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) metrics which would incorporate more green public infrastructure projects; the third component is to "harness the innovations of the Fourth Industrial Revolution" for public good.[2][3] In her keynote speech opening the dialogues, International Monetary Fund director Kristalina Georgieva listed three key aspects of the sustainable response: green growth, smarter growth, and fairer growth.[4][1]

At the launch event for the Great Reset, Prince Charles listed key areas for action, similar to those listed in his Sustainable Markets Initiative, introduced in January 2020. These included the re-invigoration of science, technology and innovation, a move towards net zero emissions globally, the introduction of carbon pricing, re-inventing longstanding incentive structures, rebalancing investments to include more (though not all) green investments, and encouraging green public infrastructure projects

Roger Scruton: Why Intellectuals are Mostly Left

2022-07-02

2022-06-28

Re: Kenobi

On Tue, Jun 28, 2022 at 2:05 PM Larry wrote:

In the comments to this video I already wrote:

I am going to concede that Obi-Wan Kenobi has a ton of logical problems. The question is whether it is still entertaining? Most certainly.

There is no shortage of people criticizing this show.   The Critical Drinker goes all out:


As I have already stated, I think that this is a pretty entertaining Star Wars television series.  I think that it is good but not great.  Some of the "logical problems" boil down to the interpretation of events.  There are things unstated that would have had to happen offscreen for it all to make sense.  This makes part of it bad writing, but I'm pretty happy with the rest of it.

Best wishes,

John Coffey


2022-06-26

Americans Are Running Out of Water #Shorts

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/GKx8SPt6BPA

I don't know how much of an issue this really is.

10 Things That Are More Popular Than You Ever Realize

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FY3nCRKtBHo&t=434s

I find myself wondering why instant coffee isn't more popular?  It was very popular in the '60s and '70s.

I like decaf coffee, but I drink real coffee in the morning.  Having to make two different kinds in the coffee maker is more trouble than it is worth.

2022-06-18

The actual science of the "industrial seed oil" panic

I get frustrated with all the contradictory health information we hear regularly.  This video does a good job of talking about the science and the arguments on both sides.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efTBLsv4yYs

Boosters and Covid

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Larry 

Dunn said hospitals in Utah have been "stable" until this week. The state dashboard reports a 27.3% increase in the seven-day average of COVID-19 hospitalizations, and a 35.3% jump in seven-day average cases in the ICU.

"The silver lining in this increase is that it's definitely not as steep," she said. "It's happening at a slower pace."

Dunn said the increase in cases could be from new Omicron subvariants and vaccination/booster shot immunity wearing off.

"We're starting to see that increase and with that, an increase in positivity," said Dunn. "So we're now seeing 25% to 30% positivity."

She said current positivity rates mirror similar peaks seen in early 2021 and beyond.

"The people-over-people method is up 625% since April 2," she explained. "The testing-over-testing method is up 850%."




Monologue: The Party Is Over | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

2022-06-15

"2000 Mules"

I watched the Dinesh D'Sousa documentary "2000 Mules."  (https://2000mules.com/)   Although the 90-minute video is maybe 30 minutes longer than it needs to be, it does a very effective job of making the case that the 2020 election was stolen.

It is almost certain that President Biden won the popular vote.  However, Presidential elections aren't decided by the popular vote, but by the Electoral College.  Because certain "Battle Ground" states were very close, it would have only taken relatively small shifts in five key counties in those states to swing the election.  We have heard about some election weirdness in some of those counties, but none of it seemed like it was enough to claim widespread election fraud.

Apparently, there is geo-tracking data available on all of us that can be purchased.  An organization called "True The Vote", purchased this data, and claims to have found evidence of widespread "mules" who stuffed election drop boxes with votes.  They set a very high bar for what they consider to be "evidence".  We have cases of people visiting 30 drop boxes while going back and forth to "non-profit organizations."  There is no plausible reason for people to visit so many drop boxes.

Most of these drop boxes only existed because of COVID.

The documentary only has videos of about a half dozen people stuffing drop boxes with votes.  This is illegal even if the votes might have been legitimate.  Most of these people were wearing rubber gloves so as to not leave fingerprints.  They also took photographs of themselves dropping in votes, reportedly because that is how they got paid.  The documentary also has a couple of whistle-blowers who explained how the scheme worked.  One person's job was to pay the "mules."

Dinesh D'Sousa crunches the numbers, and even by the very high bar for "evidence" set by "True The Vote", the number of votes cast illegally easily would have been enough to sway the election.  He also goes into detail about the people who funded these "non-profit organizations."

The documentary also finds people in nursing homes who were too far gone to have voted but somehow voted anyway.  One lady in a nursing home said that she didn't want to vote but a nurse made her vote, which is also illegal to coerce someone into voting.

Although I am convinced, my opinion is very much dependent upon the idea that the documentary is telling the truth.  I have little reason to doubt it, but I can't rule out the possibility that someone is lying.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hC_Ph4o9D30&list=PLQjQKfvegGtmvYFAgkIvC16DCh_oMWXF3&index=1