Coronavirus Antibody Testing Shows Lower Fatality Rate For Infection : Shots - Health News : NPR

But even a virus with a fatality rate less than 1% presents a formidable threat, Rivers says. "That is many times more deadly than seasonal influenza," she says.

The new evidence is coming from places such as Indiana, which completed the first phase of a massive testing effort early in May.

The governor wanted basic information, such as how many people had been infected, and how many would die.

"It doesn't capture the vast number of people out there who might be infected but not seeking medical care," he says.

Preliminary results showed that the coronavirus had infected about 3% of the state's population, or 188,000 people.

"That 188,000 people represented about 11 times more people than conventional selective testing had identified in the state to that point," Menachemi says.



COVID-19 numbers

What do the numbers tell us? The world has double the number of known cases it had one month ago. There have been half a million new cases in just the last four days. The United States has about 90% more cases in one month. Indiana has 129% more cases than one month ago, and the number in Indiana continues to rise at a linear rate.

The rate of testing is a major factor in how many cases we see. There are likely many more that we don't know about.





Indiana death toll

In the state of Indiana, there were 260 deaths in the last week. There were 567 deaths in the last two weeks. 



COVID-19 deaths worldwide

With the numbers ever increasing, I think that people lose sight of the scale of COVID-19. Worldwide there were 32,000+ deaths in the last week. That is about 11 times the death toll of 9-11 in a week. In the last two weeks, there have been over 73,000 deaths.


COVID-19 deaths in the US.

In the last week, there were about 11,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US. In the last two weeks, there were 24,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.  


Back On Track Indiana: What's Open, What's Closed?

There are multiple scenarios that could happen, varying from COVID-19 quietly going away, to COVID-19 being an extinction-level event. Although the latter is unlikely, the disease doesn't show much sign of slowing down either.


Bicycle science - how bikes work and the physics behind them

'Scientists have been puzzling over what makes bicycles balance since they were invented, back in the 19th century. In 2007, a group of engineers and mathematicians led by Nottingham University's J.P. Meijaard announced they'd finally cracked the mystery with a set of incredibly complex mathematical equations that explain how a bicycle behaves—and it turns out that gyroscopes are only part of the story.

According to these scientists, who used 25 separate "parameters" or "variables" to describe every aspect of a bicycle's motion, there's no single reason for a bicycle's balance and stability. As they say:

"A simple explanation does not seem possible because the lean and steer are coupled by a combination of several effects including gyroscopic precession, lateral ground-reaction forces at the front wheel ground contact point trailing behind the steering axis, gravity and inertial reactions from the front assembly having center-of-mass off of the steer axis, and from effects associated with the moment of inertia matrix of the front assembly"

Or, in simple terms, it's partly to do with gyroscopic effects, partly to do with how the mass is distributed on the front wheel, and partly to do with how forces act on the front wheel as it spins. At least, I think that's what they said!'


Fwd: Daily Mail: Will Covid-19 survivors face a lifetime of illness?

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Albert

Congratulations to all who survive COVID-19. Unfortunately, survivors are plagued with other ailments. 😔 

Will Covid-19 survivors face a lifetime of illness?
Kirstin Coutney, pictured with her daughter Tilly, contracted Covid-19. The 49-year-old mother of two from Bath is still suffering crippling fatigue, six weeks after developing the virus.

Read in Daily Mail: https://apple.news/AH0nEqG1_SJ-Ho1B9VonXeQ


Flynn Goes Free | The Ben Shapiro Show Ep. 1007

The first twenty-three minutes breaks down the Flynn case pretty well


We May Have Just Solved the Mystery of 11 Year Long Solar Cycles

Sunspots go through a cycle roughly every 11 years where they alternate between no sunspots and intense sunspots. This affects temperatures on earth and can interfere with communications. There have been some really bad sunspot eruptions, like around 1860, where the electromagnetic interference damaged telegraph wires. If this were to happen again then we could see disruptions to the electrical grid and communications.

We did not know why this happens every 11 years but now we think that we do. The planets, Earth, Jupiter, and Venus align roughly every 11 years, and the combined effect creates gravitational tidal forces that interfere with the magnetic/electrical currents on the surface of the sun. The video gives more details.



Best wishes,

John Coffey

Texas Supreme Court Orders Salon Owner Released


People aren't doing enough.

When I passed Wendy's, there was a huge line of cars in the drive-through, and people, mostly employees apparently on break, were hanging out together maybe with some other people in the parking lot.

I went to Sam's Club to get some supplies, and there were people there not wearing masks and families shopping together. I have also seen families shopping together at Walmart. There is no reason for more than one person from a family to be doing the shopping, and more people need to be using the curbside pickup as I have been doing.

I have also seen people in my neighborhood having outdoor parties.

The mood of the country seems to be that we want this to be over. People are encouraged by news that some restrictions will be eased up, albeit rather slowly and in some places more than others, so they are taking this as an indication that they can do whatever they want.

However, the pandemic is not over. The number of cases continues to increase, and it doesn't even show signs of slowing down.

I need to remind people that the death rate in Indiana is 5%. I do not want to die, nor I do not want my close relatives to die, nor would I want to be terribly sick gasping for air for a couple of weeks assuming that I didn't die in the process.

What restrictions will be lifted will be done slowly and first in specific areas that appear to have less risk. We need to test the waters slowly to see if we can get by with this.

Many people see this as both a freedom issue and an economic issue. Although I sympathize, our country has been through much larger struggles where people had to make sacrifices. In times of emergency, the government has to go to extraordinary measures not only to keep us safe but to also keep the economy going.

In this regard, consider a hypothetical scenario: Suppose for whatever reason there was radioactive fallout and the government told us that in order to stay safe and to keep others safe that we need to stay in our homes most of the time. In this case, how many people would defy the government orders in the name of freedom?