2021-02-01

Growth of COVID-19

I used to follow the COVID numbers almost daily, but this got tiresome especially since the numbers kept going up. I was shocked yesterday to see that Indiana was up to 626,682 cases. This is double the number of cases in November, which is almost 1 out of ten people. Presumably, there are many more mild cases that we don't know about, which could mean that up to half the state has been infected.

In January of last year, I was already sounding the alarm when it was just a few thousand cases in China. I noticed that the trend was rapidly exponential, although some of my friends on Facebook were saying it wasn't really exponential growth because China was just doing a better job of detecting the disease. In February, public officials were saying that this isn't a big threat with many people saying that the flu was going to kill a great many more people.

In early March there weren't that many cases in the U.S., and it looked like the disease was contained, but by March 21 the disease had exploded and was everywhere in the country.

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Best wishes,

John Coffey

http://www.entertainmentjourney.com

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